While the summertime boxing schedule promises intriguing showdowns and plenty of good action, the one fight that will garner the most attention is the one that should be the least competitive of them all. It involves Floyd Mayweather, one of the best boxers of the last half-century, against YouTube mega-star Logan Paul. It probably won’t be a high-level affair, but it will draw plenty of attention and (probably) millions of PPV viewers on Sunday. Here’s everything you need to know about Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul, including the odds, their purses, their records and a prediction on who will win.
First, the rules of the bout: It’s an eight-round exhibition with three-minute rounds. Both fighters will don 12-ounce gloves and will eschew head gear, and there will be no judges scoring the fight (though a KO can occur). Paul can’t weigh in higher than 190 pounds the day before the bout, and it’ll cost him $100,000 for every pound that he is over his weight limit.
Still, Paul will probably outweigh Mayweather, who has never weighed more than 151 for a fight, by 30-40 pounds by the time they step into the ring. And that could be Paul’s greatest chance to score the major upset.
“I’m not going in there at 155 pounds,” Paul said. “I’m not going in there with the fight meaning the entire world to me. I have nothing to lose. This whole thing is going to be fun for me. I’m going to play with Floyd—gonna dog him and hit him hard. I’m going to break him down physically, mentally, everything.”
Mayweather, of course, has other ideas. He said, via Showtime, “It really doesn’t matter if I have an intense training camp or don’t. This kid doesn’t have a chance in hell. I can’t be f——— beat. I’m Floyd. I beat the biggest names—real fighters. This is a YouTuber, c’mon now.”
The chances of Paul somehow knocking off Mayweather, even a Mayweather that hasn’t been in the ring since 2017 and who is now in his mid-40s, are infinitesimal. But Paul said he has a mental edge, because he has nothing to lose.
“What happens if I win? The world’s axis stands still. Time stops. It’s the genesis, it’s the greatest upset in the history of combat sports,” Paul told ESPN. “What happens if I lose? Nothing. Life goes on.”
Here’s more info on the Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul showdown that U.S. viewers can watch on Showtime PPV beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday.
Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul odds
The odds were much closer than they should have been. In late May, more people were betting on Paul to win, and at the time, Paul was only a +700 underdog (win $700 on a $100 bet) with Mayweather listed as the -1500 favorite (wager $1,500 to win $100). But now that the rules dictate that no official winner will be declared, it might be difficult to find a way to actually bet the event (considering SportsBetting.ag said it had taken a six-figure wager on the bout, that’s unfortunate for all involved).
But as of this writing, you could still find prop bets on SportsBetting.ag. That includes who will be the first to bleed (Paul is -600, Mayweather is +350); whether Logan Paul will be knocked down (-350 for yes, +225 for no), or whether younger brother Jake Paul will enter the ring during a round (+1000). As for whether the fight will go the distance, it’s -310 for no and +205 for yes.
Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul purses
Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul records
Mayweather is a perfect 50-0 (27 KOs), but he hasn’t been in a true boxing match since 2015. Yes, he beat Conor McGregor in 2017 and then blasted through kickboxer Tenshin Nasukawa in a 2018 exhibition, but Mayweather is far from his physical prime. Not that it should matter against this opponent.
Paul (0-1) lost his only professional bout to YouTuber KSI in 2019 in a split decision defeat. Before that, he managed a draw vs. KSI in an exhibition that didn’t count toward his record. Other than that, Paul was a high school wrestler. As far as his athletic achievements are concerned, that’s pretty much it.
Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul prediction
The reason Conor McGregor had success early in his fight with Mayweather was, basically, because Mayweather let him. If Mayweather wanted to end the bout in the first few rounds, he could have done that. Instead, Mayweather carried him into the 10th round before knocking out McGregor. And remember, McGregor was one of the best MMA fighters in UFC. Paul has nowhere near that level of athletic accomplishment.
I suspect we’ll see some of the same in the first round or two. Paul might have the tiniest bit of success, but by the third or fourth round, Mayweather will stop toying with his opponent and put an end to it. There will be no judges to score the contest, but there will be no need. That’s because Mayweather will make Paul quit.