Jermell Charlo Vs. Brian Castano: Odds, Records, Prediction

When Jermell Charlo and Brian Castano meet on Saturday night, they’ll have the chance to make history. Never before has there been an undisputed 154-pound champion in the four-belt era, and though Charlo is the betting favorite and has a better resume than his opponent, Castano is still an awfully dangerous opponent. And Charlo knows it. Here’s everything you need to know about Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano, including the odds, their records and a prediction on who will win.

Castano has a relentless, aggressive style, and the fact he had a draw with Lara in Castano’s 16th professional fight should let you know about the skills he possesses. He doesn’t necessarily have fantastic one-punch knockout power (Charlo has an iron chin, anyway), but his overwhelming pressure will make for a tough fight on Saturday night.

“I’m the type of fighter that is always going after you,” Castano said. “I’m always there to pressure you. Even though Charlo said that I don’t have anything he hasn’t seen before, he has never seen anybody with my fighting style. 

“I’ve seen Charlo knock down a lot of fighters with just one punch. That’s something to look out for. However, I have more of a variety in my arsenal than anybody he has fought before. If I have to be more aggressive and go for more power instead of finesse, rest assured that I can knock him down as well.”

Despite Charlo’s mediocre-looking knockout percentage, he has one of the best punches in the junior middleweight division. It’s the kind of shot that could end a fight quickly, and it might be a good antidote to Castano’s style. If Charlo can find Castano’s chin, that is.

“Castano is a great fighter who puts on a lot of pressure,” Charlo said. “But I know my abilities and I know my power. Every punch I throw is dominant and every shot I throw is painful for my opponent. I have a lot of unique abilities in me and I’m going to bring some tricks into this fight.”

Here’s more info on the Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano showdown that U.S. viewers can watch on Showtime beginning at 9 p.m. ET.

Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano odds

Late in the week, Charlo was a -285 betting favorite (bet $285 to win $100), and Castano was the +215 underdog (win $215 on a $100 wager). Earlier in the week, Charlo was -250 and Castano was +175, so bettors seem to be favoring Charlo. I wouldn’t touch Charlo’s money line, particularly since the odds are getting shorter for him, but I wouldn’t mind going with Charlo to win by stoppage at +220 or, if you’re feeling funky, for him to win by KO/TKO in rounds 9-12 at +650. That said, if you’re going with Charlo in a parlay, I actually wouldn’t mind betting the money line.

If you were looking for a fun parlay for this weekend’s action of boxing (and this is only for entertainment purposes), I might take Charlo to beat Castano at -285, Rolando Romero to defeat Anthony Yigit by KO/TKO at -120, and Amilcar Vidal to stop Immanuwel Aleem at -250. That would pay you $246 on a $100 wager.

Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano records

Charlo (34-1, 18 KOs) has bounced back from the lone loss on his resume, a close unanimous decision defeat to Tony Harrison in 2018, by knocking out Harrison in the rematch and then stopping Jeison Rosario to collect three of the 154-pound belts. Not only that, Charlo has scored knockouts in seven of his last eight victories. He just continues to get better at stopping his opponents.

Though Castano (17-0-1, 12 KOs) isn’t all that well known, he’s had two fantastic results in his career. First, his draw against Lara was so impressive because it came against a rugged veteran who is a difficult fighter to face. Then, in February, Castano dominated Patrick Teixeira to take his junior middleweight belt. Though he’s only scored one true knockout in his past five fights, Castano is a very live underdog.

Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano prediction

I would not be surprised if Castano pulls off the upset. But ultimately, I think Charlo is just a little too skilled and a little too powerful. Castano could build up a lead on the scorecards, but Charlo is going to catch Castano at some point. I’d go with Charlo to win by stoppage in the 10th round.

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